Chii chichaitika Hryvnia? Ukrainian Hryvnia: nyanzvi Zvaifungidzirwa

Nokuda kusagadzikana zvoupfumi mamiriro ezvinhu munyika maererano mubvunzo wezvichaitika kuna Hryvnia muna 2015, nguva refu hazvirevi rirasikirwe kwayo. An dzinonakidza ndechokuti tikafunga zviitiko zvenyika yakadai shale chimurenga, kuwa mutengo mafuta uye nomination pakati zvirango Russian, hapana anogona kupa yakavimbika nokufembera.

Rinotaurwa muna 2014?

Mugumo 2014 kwakaratidza kuti Zvakaoma vanhu munyika munyika dzakawanda, uye Ukraine hapana anosara. Kusagadzikana zvinhu kusandudzirwa nyanzvi dzinofungidzira zvimwe zviitiko. Official Statement akamboda kuita Andrew Novak, mukuru utungamiriri pamusoro Committee nezvoupfumi nevamwe vashomanana voruzhinji.

Nowak rinotarisa ndechokuti zvikwereti muna 2015 havana kukanganisa shanduko iri Hryvnia. Maererano naye, Kudzikamiswa achava zvinogoneka chete panyaya kuzvidzora chero mhando yokufungidzira iri mari pamusika, uyewo yakafanana Implementation munhu wakaoma wokuti reNational Bank.

Maererano Vladimir Starintsa, aitungamirira Economist munyika, nhasi Ukraine ari preddefoltnom ezvinhu. The mamiriro ezvinhu aigona kutsoropodza kana Russia achaita kurayira kudzoka matatu duku chokupisa chikwereti. The zvingafananidzwa kupfaviswa chete kuburikidza austerity uye kana kuturika mufaro kubhadhara.

More netariro akanaka akakwanisa kunzwa kubva pamuromo kudzorwa kambani Capital Times Erika Naymana. Akati kuti Hryvnia Gengi muna 2015 achapiwa dzakachinja vari kuwanda 15 kusvika 25 Hryvnia chete dhora, izvo, chokwadi, kuitika nhasi. Kana isu kuronga kushandisa zvose vakaronga kuchinja uye kukwezva makambani, zvinhu zviri equalized pakazopera gore.

The National Bank payakaramba ramangwana

On the mubvunzo kuti chii chichaitika Hryvnia, handina kuda kupindura kwenguva refu, kunyange NBU, sezvo haana ikwidzwe muongorori chake Cabinet ari nenguva nenzira. Cabinet aifanira kushandisa Zvaifungidzirwa kuti mari vokubhengi uye nezvoupfumi, sezvo gurukota rezvemari ave pamutemo akazivisa nyika Natalia Yaresko. At wakadzikama mamiriro upfumi National Bank for Hryvnia pagore anopa kukarukureta chirongwa ari bhajeti inotevera gore. Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk, kamwe kamwe yave rinoziviswa kuti gwaro State bhajeti ya2015 chaizvoizvo kuva nechinangwa zvazvingava, riri chokwadi kure mufananidzo chaiwo. Maererano naye, kuti Hryvnia kuti dhora aifanira dzinoenderana nhamba 1:17.

Seiko nyanzvi vanoti pamusoro mberi rutapudzo nezvaizoitika Hryvnia?

nezvoupfumi Vazhinji vanoti nechivimbo kuti munguva yemberi iri pedyo, kuti Hryvnia vacharamba kuwa. The Muitiro kunesungano zvakananga akavhiyiwa zvechiuto kumabvazuva. Uye kunyange pano kuti kuramba vamwe rakasvika kudzivirira nyika, achadonha mari kubva bhajeti. Mhaka Chiitiko chiri pakuti zviitiko rapfuura gore kwakaita kuti kuvhara imwe nhamba akaitwa kumabvazuva. Maererano rokutanga vanofungidzira zviri muchikamu ichi nyika dzichiitika anenge 15-25% of makambani kuti ndambodzidza aumba aina simba ehurumende. Kuvharwa wavo zvakaita kuti zvinoderedza yokumwe mukutsinhana inflows muruwa.

Zvinofanira kunzi riri mu kumabvazuva pakukura yemo nzvimbo munyika, iyo kare akaita kutoshanda vatengi. Pasinei pakudzikamisa pakuenzanisa vachibhadhara, bhuku kupinzwa yakawira chete rokutenga simba vemo. The Muitiro ndechokuti kunyange mamiriro ezvinhu kumabvazuva hakuzochinji nzira wokuUkraine Hryvnia, simba rinomutsa izvo mumakore achangopfuura anotaura pfupi kururamiswa munguva yemberi iri pedyo vacharamba kuwa. Usakanganwa kuti ichi ndicho chimwe chete zvinoita Muchiitiko.

Kuwa Hryvnia chokuita nezvakaitika pamusika mari

Rakabudiswa vanoongorora, tichifunga mubvunzo chii chichaitika pamwe Hryvnia mugore rino, izvo zvinoratidza ayo mamwe kuwa uye kunyange kuderedza nokuda chokuchinja zviri wokuUkraine pamusika zvemari. Sezvo prerequisites nokuti kuderedza kufunga hombe kushaya kuti oupfumi kubva mamiriro, iyo 90% vakanga nechokuita nevanhu akabata kare simba. The water drainage mari kwakaita kumanikidza pamusoro kosi.

The water drainage kuti guta kubva nemabhengi mudzoke kunyika madhora

Ukrainian Hryvnia, mutengo yakawa yekudyidzana mumakore mwedzi mitanhatu acharamba kuramba nokuda kusavimba yacho zvekutepfenyura zvemari. Mumakore okupedzisira gore zvokungoitawo Kutarisirwa wakatangwa muna mabhanga 30 munyika. Maererano rokutanga vanofungidzira yakafanana wematambudziko vanotyisidzira kanenge 30 zvemari masangano. People, tora maoko enyu pamusoro dhipoziti inishuwarenzi Fund iri kuwanda 200 zviuru Hryvnia, vakabva kushandura currency kuti chete anosika vade uye anoita kuti dhora kumuka mutengo. Inobva kutya runowanikwa zviri muvanhu, uye kuvaka vanhu vachiedza kuponesa mari dzavo, vaongorori vanoti Ukrainian Hryvnia zvichaita chete simba.

Vasingatyi zvakafanotaurwa vaongorori uye nezvoupfumi

Kuedza kuwana mhinduro yomubvunzo wokuti chii chichaitika pamwe Hryvnia muna 2015, nyanzvi mune anosungira pachiyero 40-50 Hryvnia pa dhora. Izvi Anovhundutsira ramangwana zhinji kunobva nekusagona kushandisa dzakawanda tranches kuti kurera upfumi kana kuti replenishment pamusoro reserves goridhe, sezvo dzimwe rubatsiro vakaroorana asiri anofukidza ari kwokunze chikwereti rweUkraine.

Chimbofunga kunaka apa uye inoita kuti nekuda rapfuura gore, National Bank nguva unobereka refinancing, uwandu izvo ratosvika mabhiriyoni 1 Hryvnia. Uyu chaiko kuwedzera mari wedzerai munyika, kuwedzera wedzerai pamusoro pamusika uye, naizvozvovo, kuderera mune kukosha mari dzaishandiswa. Unogona kutaura kutya, pamusoro kutopedza kutengeswa goridhe uye mari matura kanga usarega kuita netariro Zvaifungidzirwa kuti nyanzvi.

Chii kuita nyanzvi munhau?

Vezvenhau ruzivo inodzokororwa kakawanda zvakakwana kuti yakaipisisa kuitika nokuda zviitiko uchava mumwe apo Hryvnia kuti dhora kuukurira nhamba 1:25. Kana tikafunga kuti kwakatopfuura, tinogona kutaura kushanda panze manyorero pamusoro dema mari musika kosi iyi. Vanamazvikokota vakawanda vanokurudzira kwete kukurumidza uye kusimbisa mukuru ndingangokuvara dzokororo of muitiro. Mamiriro ichaongororwa nenzira kunaka apo IMF kuramba kupa Credits. Panguva iyoyo, ndicho kwokunze zvinopa mari ndiwo chete mukana kuti nyika chaivharidzira zvinodiwa hurumende kuti gore rinouya. Maererano rokutanga nokufungidzira, nyika inoda 25 kusvika mabhiriyoni 26 emadhora rubatsiro zvokunyama. Total bhiriyoni 11-12 anokwanisa govera nyika IMF. Unobva chokwadi ichi, nezvoupfumi regai kutaura chokwadi zvakadini achaita mari wokuUkraine Hryvnia munguva yemberi iri pedyo, sezvo kurohwa zvikuru pakuti sarudzo tsika mari dzakawanda.

Chii mudhu vanoumba pamaberere?

Forecast Hryvnia wakabatana zvakananga mamiriro ezvinhu, ndiwo vangangoora muAtlantic munyika. Zvichienderana akaipa noruvara ari ungangotarisa muchiitiko, zvinokwanisika kutaura nezveramangwana kumhanyisa kuti mitengo panguva kunhivi 5%. The kukura zvazvingava aigona kusvika nangananga 10%. The basa musika uchatanga dzakaoma. Pane matunhu mukana rokurera mudyandigere zera. Shoma mari achagara nenguva chechetere. Kana IMF vachapa mbiri, hurumende vachamanikidzwa kurera tariffs, kuti pekugara uye zvaiita mabasa. Zvakananga, simba nokuchengeta, inopisa uye kutonhora mvura vachaita mamwe mana nguva zvinodhura. zvokudya mitengo kwaizova dzinongoitika chinoshamisa. Pasinei nokuti Zvaifungidzirwa varambe Zvaifungidzirwa uye mamiriro ezvinhu munyika anogona zvachinja pashure kupindira vamwe vakapfuma chero nguva, vanhu havafaniri kumira kuti tidzikame uye kunetseka.

How kushandisa fungidziro pamwe mwero 12 Hryvnia rimwe dhora?

Mune rimwe kutaura ake Ustenko rinoziviswa kuti Hryvnia, purogiramu iyo achangobva rinotungamirirwa kuchamhembe, uye kunyange akabata chiratidzo 25 inokwana zviyero por 1 US Dollar, ane zvinogona kumonera shure kune ukoshi 12 Hryvnia pa dhora. Kuti vawane chinangwa ichi vachafanira kushandisa zvakawanda upgrades kuti zvichachinja zvine chokuita noupenyu. The kushurudzira zvichanyatsoitika kana kucheka ehurumende Kushivirira kusvika pamutemo muhoro yevashumiri vehurumende uye kucheka dzinopiwa wokumborerutsa kukanganisa basa yomunharaunda, izvo zvichaita kuti kudzoka guta kusvika nyika. Akafanotaura zvinhu ichava chaiye, kana zvichibvira kuderedza mari uye kuva hurumende austerity.

Takanga tisisanakidzwi kana kukoshesa chaiye Hryvnia?

Kana pakupera 2014 uye mukuvamba 2015 ari Zvaifungidzirwa wechipiri zvikuru, izvo zvakakanganisa nhamba Hryvnia kune dzimwe mari nyika, yakanga nezvacho, nhasi manzwiro munzanga achinja yekudyidzana. A guru chikamu forecasters kungoparara achamuka dhora amira, achitarisira kuderedza Gengi mukoridho kune zvakawanda 21.5 kusvika 23.5 Hryvnia muzana dhora. Muitiro uyu, umo wokuUkraine Hryvnia acharamba kukwira, vachitsigirwa ne chokwadi kuti pakazopera wokutanga kota, makambani akawanda vaimanikidzwa kubhadhara mutero, izvo zvakazoita kuti rutapudzo mari romugove mumusika. Uyezve NBU artificially kunoderedza uwandu mari pamusoro pamisika, achikurudzira nemabhangi kutengesa dzimwe mari. Taura pamusoro Kugadzikana apo mangwanani, asi zvakanaka kuti tinyatsonzwisisa zvinhu chaizvo.

Chii chingaitika pakazopera gore?

Pakazosvika 2015 zvinhu pamwe Hryvnia Currency musika anogona kutenga vatatu format. With pakati nepakati water drainage pamusoro guru, uye akapa kuti IMF haringaperi mari, pakazopera gore Gengi achava munhu azvipire 27 kusvika 29 Hryvnia muzana dhora. Kana water drainage pakati guta kubva nyika achagadzira pachiyero kuguma 2014, tinogona zvakachengeteka kugadzirira chinoratidza muna 32-35 Hryvnia pa US dhora. With nokuwedzera water drainage pakati guru munyika kakawanda mamiriro inogona kuumbwa tinodzitya zvikuru, mumwe toughest Zvaifungidzirwa pa 50 Hryvnia rimwe dhora ingava yechokwadi. depreciation 1-1.5 nguva chokuita chido chavagari kutendeutsa mari dzavo kunyika madhora uye akavanda navo pasi mutsamhiro. Nhamba "Hryvnia pamusoro Ruble," nhasi haasi kukosha, nekuti Russia, kufanana Ukraine, chinoenda kuburikidza dzakaoma.

Achiratidza, kana kuva nepfungwa kana nezvakafanotaurwa ramangwana?

Inobva kumusoro, zvinogona kucherechedzwa kuti kuongorora mamiriro ezvinhu munyika haana kupa vaongorori uye nezvoupfumi mukana kukotamira chete kushurudzira. Views zvose vezvematongerwo enyika uye nyanzvi diverge zvikuru. Mhinduro yomubvunzo sei kurondedzera Hryvnia pamusoro Ruble kuti dhora, euro, hapana zvingangoita havagoni kupa. Izvi nokuda kusagadzikana hupfumi ezvinhu uye nekusagona chokufungidzira zviito uye Zvaitongwa IMF, iyo rabva zvakananga currency.

Zvikuru dzinonakidza ndechokuti panguva vaongorori vakataura pamusoro kuderedza pamusoro Hryvnia kuwa patsime, akatanga kuti kusimba. Pezvatinotaura kwokungosimbisa National mari zvino pasi nzira, asi kune vanoomerera pariri hapana angada. The Hryvnia, purogiramu iyo akatumwa kuchamhembe kusvika pakutanga kwegore uye Hakasi ratokunguruswa uye akamira, zvinogona kusashanda muende mumwe mapato chero nguva. Izvi zvinogona kukonzera zvose zvimwewo zvinhu zvinokosha zviitiko zvenyika uye zvoupfumi zviitiko munyika. Complex uye zvakawanda zvinomboitika upfumi nyika unounza zvachinja Hryvnia Gengi.