Investment Kukwezva of zvebhizimisi uye kufungidzira kuti mari basa emakambani kuvakwa indasitiri

Enterprise kuvakwa indasitiri - kunzwisisa kugadzirwa uye zvoupfumi kunoratidzwa mubatanidzwa zvivako, zvakabatana chaizvo yayo zvinorwisana zvinhu. Idzi dzinosanganisira: kuvimbika, mukana wokushandiswa, mufambo, anochinjika, kuenderera, makwikwi, utsanzi susceptibility, mari basa, izvo zvinoratidzwa simba pamusoro kusimba mari, scale, chinangwa uye kubudirira oupfumi ayo mubhizimisi kufarirwa kunoita zvebhizimisi rose.

In ezvinhu ano, kunorondedzerwa kumusoro makwikwi bhizimisi uye saturation tsika marudzi mishonga (mabasa), kunakisa kunopiwa kune avo kuvaka makambani kuti vane pfupi mukuru musika kukosha, vane kukura hakungagoni kukwanisika pasina mamwe mubhizimisi pfuma okuguma wakaiswa uye ano yesangano, Implementation zviyero kuvandudza chigadzirwa makwikwi, zvebhizimisi kukura uye uvandudze kuti inivhesitimendi kukwezva.

Kuwedzera mari Kukwezva wekambani achipfeka kurapa mari basa, izvo zviri pachena kuti chinonyanya kukosha parameter imwe kambani kuvakwa.

Ezvinhu mari basa Kutarisira mashandiro unosimbisa mukuronga, vachibvumira pahwaro for Data kuona inokosha zvebasa iri mubhizimisi basa nenyaya management, nenzira yekuwana pavo. Investment Kukwezva pakati zvavakanga vachida kuita iri inokosha urongwa ndehwokuti kuwedzera mari basa uye kugadzira yawo optimum chechetere.

Zvaunogona mari basa yekuronga makasimba muitiro kufungidzira mugumisiro inova quantitative chokufenbera kukosha mari basa indekisi (STRUCTURAL zviratidzi) mune ramangwana, dzinonetsa pamwero mari nebasa rokuvaka zvebhizimisi, kuti kubudirira izvo kunotungamirira Qualitative kuchinja ayo pamusika ukoshi. Yandakapiwa mubhizimisi Kukwezva pamusoro zvebhizimisi kunoda wakadzikamira, kunzwisisa kwakaita kufungidzira kwacho uye zvinodiwa kuti unhu zvabuda, zvinokwanisika rokuongorora chokufenbera kukosha mubhizimisi kwebasa zviratidzi nzira dzakawanda.

Kufungisisa zvinhu zvinoverengeka: zviri specificity kwezvakafanotaurwa zvacho chinhu (the mubhizimisi Kukwezva wekambani, kwayakaita chacho STRUCTURAL zviratidzo), Kuwanikwa Statistical mashoko pamusoro chinhu, nguva Vachitarisira svikiro-rokuti, zvinokurudzirwa kushandisa nedanho mari nebasa rokuvaka zvebhizimisi kufungidzira extrapolation nzira. Zvine precondition kuti nokushandisa nzira idzi mumwe mwero inertia iri simba pamusoro mari nebasa chivako emakambani ari pfupi uye svikiro izwi.

Nzira Extrapolation kwakavakirwa kufunga zvakaitika kare, panguva akaumba chinhu guru womuenzaniso achifanotaura: Indekisi mari nebasa rokuvaka zvebhizimisi, ayo STRUCTURAL parameters nokuparadzirwa nezvemaitiro zviratidzi ari retrospective nguva yemberi.

Ongororo dzakaratidza kuti kuti kuona prognostic ukoshi zviratidzi okuvaka indasitiri emakambani basa vachivimbisa ndiko kushandiswa zvinotevera nzira:

• Analytical kunangiswa;

• Simple exponential rimire;

• exponential rimire Holt-Winters;

• Brown exponential rimire.

Nzira dzose idzi dzinobva maonero kuti mari yakadaro nyaya yacho zvebhizimisi uye simba mumatunhu zvichienderana dzinoverengeka zviratidzi vayo mari mabasa nguva zvinhu pamusoro.