Chii chakamirira Ukraine mune ramangwana? Remangwana Ukraine: yacho kushurudzira. Future map muUkraine

Mazuvano vanhu vakawanda varikubvunza: chii kumirira kuUkraine mune ramangwana? Very hwakabatikana upenyu zvino kurarama munyika: euromaidan, Kuratidzira, Misangano mikuru vanhuwo zvavo reshuffle nesimba ... Kana uye chii zvichaguma yokusagadzikana munyika? Sezvo dzichakurukurwa muhurukuro yemberi hukama pakati mbiri pehama marudzi, Russian uye Ukrainian? Chii akagadzirira kuenda wokuUkraine utungamiri normalize mamiriro ezvinhu munyika? Ngatitaurei vanoedza kufanotaura enyika uye zvoupfumi weHurumende.

Ukraine: Chronicle Zvinoitika

Ayakaita? 28-29 November 2013 muna Vilnius yavaizoenda kukwirira "Eastern Partnership" kuna kusaina ane sangano chibvumirano pakati EU uye Ukraine. Asi mazuva mashomanana asati Hurumende akazivisa kuturika ari gadziriro ichi chiitiko chinokosha kuti nyika. November 21 pakati Kiev aiva. Ari kutsutsumwa wokutanga, chinangwa chikuru chakanga rutsigiro European kusangana Kukwirira "Eastern Partnership" richiri inoitwa. Asi chibvumirano pamusoro sangano muUkraine uye EU yakanga yakasainwa pariri. A chinozunguzirwa itsva okutsutsumwa. In mahwanda demonstrators svikiro kuti "mwero" uye radicals. December 1 Independence House Last kukunda kutengeserana mibatanidzwa chivakwa Kyiv Batsirai. Zvino vanhu havasi chete nyasha kusaina pamusoro accession rweUkraine kuna EU chibvumirano, asi akabvunza kuti kusiya basa kwehurumende ano, akatungamirirwa President Viktor Yanukovych. Asi paivawo vakanga pamusoro mamiriro convergence pamwe dzeEU. In pedyo pamwe Russia, vakaona ramangwana Ukraine. Achatanda kwayo pakuzadzisa kana hapana akamboda kuita. Zvichakadai, kuratidzira uye kusawirirana radicals uye nevarwi mumigwagwa mberi. Somugumisiro, mashoko Verkhovna Batsirai pamugumo February Viktor Yanukovych anodzingwa simba, Akave nokuvandudza munyika mubumbiro uye akagadza Mutauriri Oleksandr Turchynov nokuda pambiru kuita mutungamiri. Izvi zvakakonzera zvakavhenganiswa tinyatsonzwisisa nyika zvematongerwo enyika. Zvinozivikanwa kuti Moscow inoshora nezviito Ukrainian hurumende yakadaro, achivadana mubvandiripo. US uye EU vatungamiriri zvinotsigira Kiev vanhasi. Chii chichaitika inotevera? Nationals imwe yakasiyana chiratidzo remangwana Ukraine.

Chii chakamirira nyika pashure sarudzo musi May 25?

Viktor Yanukovych nechisimba kubviswa simba. Uyezve, aifanira kusiya nyika kuponesa upenyu hwavo. Musoro hurumende yava Arseny Yatsenyuk, mumwe mukuru vatungamiriri kushorwa pamusoro the maidan. May 25 musarudzo muUkraine. Iye akataura chikuru Vakwikwidzi nokuda yapurezidhendi. Izvi Aimbova wehurumende Yulia Tymoshenko uye oligarch Petr Poroshenko. Ngatiedzei kufunga sei pasarudzo kuuya zvichachinja ramangwana Ukraine. Pashure Porusununguko kuchiva munyika iri kuwedzera. Western masayendisiti enyika vanodavira kuti vemutungamiri sarudzo uye haizopereri kwokushanduka muUkraine kuchaita kuti Kudzikamiswa uye normalization zvinhu kuipa panguva ino nguva upfumi. yakakwirira chaizvo chivimbo Rating kubudikidza vomunyika kubva vemutungamiri kukwikwidza Petro Poroshenko. Vazhinji vanoongorora zvematongerwo vanodavira kuti achaita kuhwina sarudzo. basa rake, maererano vamwe vaongorori vezvematongerwo enyika, izvozvo ichatanga resumption iri nyaya kudzoka Crimea muna Ukraine. Nguva dzose inokanganisa ukama pakati Russia uye "rusununguko." Uyezve, chavachapa kuti convergence neyokupedzisira pamwe EU. Kanenge chokutanga kuti akanga akagadzirira kuita semutungamiri, saka wakaiswa vhiza-akasununguka hurumende pamwe dzeEU. In Yulii Timoshenko mikana kuhwina sarudzo zvishoma, sezvo vakawanda vanodavira kuti zasi-kumabvazuva kunyika vaipikisa kwaari kugara panzvimbo ino. Heano mazano akaratidza mutemo rweUkraine ramangwana kana zvinova musoro wehurumende: "Mune imwe nyika akaumba munhu simba utungamiriri. Iye achava pasi zvose hurumende hurongwa. Tymoshenko wokuti anenge akatarira pasi West. Kana Russia, ipapo naye Madame President achavakira "noushamwari," uye ukama akatarwa, kuti zvitifambire pavo. Zvikurukuru, rinoshanda gasi mitengo. Saka, mukadzi uyu kuchabudirira nomugungwa pakati EU uye Russia. "

The ezvoupfumi mamiriro muUkraine zvino uye mune ramangwana

Vezvenhau Russian vanoramba kudzokorora mashoko kuti dzemari muUkraine kunosiya zvakawanda anodikamwa nhasi. upfumi munyika raparadzwa. It zvachose zvinoenderana zvikwereti uye nemari rubatsiro Europe uye United States. Zvichida mashoko aya pamusoro mamiriro ezvemari muUkraine kuwedzeredzwa, asi kuti nyika rutsigiro inokosha kubva kunze, kudzivisa default, zviri zvikuru zvakafanana chokwadi. Ngatitaurei vanoedza kufanotaura nezveramangwana rweUkraine zvoupfumi. Forecast kuti vanoongorora panyaya iyi zvinoshamisa. The European Union nhasi ari kutamburira kuwedzera zvose zvinobvira kubatsira National upfumi Ukraine. Izvi zvikwereti uye rubatsiro mukuderedza kuvimba Russian gasi, uye zvinoderedza netsika mabasa ari kupinzwa kubva kunyika kuUkraine zvinhu. Zvisinei, rubatsiro urwu hakusi chisingapembedzwi. Kubhadhara zvose. Uye Ukraine munguva yemberi iri pedyo vachafanira kubhadhara "zvikomborero" zvose izvi: kubhadhara zvikwereti kufarira, uye kuti kuchinja mumagakava policies kuti kanganisa mari zvido zvavo vomunyika. Somugumisiro, maererano nyanzvi, nyika ichaparadzwa nomuzvanza chinhu zvakadzama zvoupfumi. Nokufamba kwenguva, EU anoramba kubatsira Ukraine, sezvo matanho zvose kudzorera upfumi chayo achava sabatsira. More pangozi zvokunyama yavo zvakanaka kuva nokuda mumwe Europe of mamiriro hatidi. Chii chakamirira Ukraine mune ramangwana iyi? Pano nyika, hurumende yava kuedza kuchera simba Moscow pamusoro mamiriro ezvinhu munyika chinowanzoitika kumanikidzwa kukumbira kubatsirwa kuri Russian. Panguva ino, President Vladimir Putin akati usingabereki kuramba nemari kuUkraine. Asi govera zvikwereti muvakidzani, hurumende yeRussia anogona chete kana pane hurumende pamutemo kuumbwa.

Map of Ukraine mushure mahwanda Forecast

Munguva ichangopfuura, vanhu vashoma vakatenda kuti Crimea achava Russian zvakare. Asi musi, zvakadaro. Uye Europe uye United States vanofanira kuziva izvi fait accompli. Dai 11, 2014 referendum wakaitwa muna Lugansk uye Donetsk kumatunhu, zvakazoita vagari kumatunhu aya zvakaziviswa uchangamire hwavo. Asi kana enyika dzenyika vanoziva chokwadi ichi? Zvino chii chichaitika kune achangobva yakagadzirwa Luhansk uye Donetsk vanhu Republic? kana vachipinda sezvo akazvimiririra dzakabatana dziri Ukraine kana Russia akateterera kuti hurumende ine chikumbiro kutora kwavari? Nyanzvi Political vanoti kusvikira ichangobva zvaigoneka kudzivirira pokuwa nyika kuburikidza federalization uye kupa zvakawanda kodzero kumatunhu. Uye nhasi pane mamiriro ezvinhu akadaro kuti hurumende vakarasikirwa kuCrimea, uye mukana chokudzingwa kubva kumaodzanyemba, uyo vakawanda ari zvose haana kutsigira hurumende kuitika muKiev. Chii chakamirira Ukraine mune ramangwana? Zviri nguva kuti zvimwe zvachinja mepu yacho? Maererano nyeredzi Pavel Globa, kusvikira 2020 wokupedzisira zvoupfumi munyika ino. Pamusoro Payakapera, kushandurwa enyika mepu dzenyika. Muna 2014, hurumende iri muzvikamu zvitatu. Mumwe wavo uchava chikamu Russia, sezvo zvino tinoona muenzaniso Crimea. Chikamu chechipiri uye vanoramba kuteerera Kiev nokuumba pachake kutarisirwa kwaro, zvatiri kuona panguva iri Donbass. Nokufamba kwenguva, sezvo Vazivi venyeredzi vanoti, nharaunda ehurumende dzinogona kurasikirwa. Zvinogoneka kuti Ukraine pacharo pashure zvichiitika kubva yose zvoupfumi sezvo hurumende kuchanyarara kuvapo. Sezvo Zvisinei, uye EU. Ichi kuzviitira pfungwa uye anozivisa Pavla Globy.

Chii vanotyisidzira Ukraine, kurasikirwa nzvimbo okumabvazuva?

Pashure referendamu musi May 11 Donetsk uye Luhansk akazivisa rusununguko. Panyaya iyi mubvunzo unomuka: Chii chakamirira Ukraine mune ramangwana kana iye anoita vanorasikirwa munzvimbo idzi? Political masayendisiti mubvunzo uyu vakaratidza zvakafanana pfungwa: hurumende havazokwanisi kuti zvakazara kubhadhara zvikwereti unozvipiwa neEuropean Union neUnited States. IMF anoyambira Kiev kodzero kuti kana kurasikirwa munzvimbo dzavo okumabvazuva kungada okuwedzera mari hwenyika. Zvechokwadi, muna Kharkov, Lugansk uye Donetsk kumatunhu dziri kusimbiswa kuti 30% kuti maindasitiri emakambani ari mamiriro. Maererano vanoongorora Russian, ramangwana muUkraine - iri federalization munyika. Kuti rinogona kuponesa kwake kubva mahwanda.

Ukraine yaro "vanoitisana" simba

The EU uye US vari kutsigira hurumende kuitika muKiev, dzichivapomera kuzvigadzirira masimba omoto atinoda mamiriro ezvinhu munyika Russia. Nokuti Ivo kusuma zvirango zvitsva pamusoro Moscow, achida nokudaro "tyisa" pakati Russian Federation uye kubvisa simba pamusoro Ukrainian zvematongerwo enyika. Chii chinokurudzira vatungamiriri Europe uye United States panguva imwe chete? Vari chete vane chimwe chinangwa chete: kuponesa State kubva kusauka uye paradzanisa? Ngatiedzei kuongorora akasika zvinhu uye kuti uzive kuti kukanganisa rubatsiro iyi kuita kukunda zvoupfumi uye zvematongerwo dambudziko muUkraine? Ruzhinji Russian masayendisiti enyika kubvumirana nezvokuti United States iyi "mutambo" ndiyo imwe chete chinangwa: kuunza Ukraine kupinda NATO uye nenzvimbo sangano vezvikwata pedyo nomuganhu Russia. vaongorori vakawanda vakasvika pakugumisa kuti zvakanaka kuitika nokukurumidza. The nyika anobatana NATO, uye Washington achakwanisa kuongorora zviito Moscow, akaisa paRussian muchiuto vakaisvoipa miganhu. Kana chikuru vaichengetedza wechipiri munyika, uye pano zvose zviri pachena. Zvinotarisirwa kuti EU uye Ukraine anofanira kuzarura misika yavo nomumwe. DzeEU dziri kutsvaka zvitsva rokutengesa pfungwa kuti zvigadzirwa zvavo. Muchiitiko chino, Ukraine yayo vanhu mamiriyoni 46 achabatsirawo kuti zvakanaka kuchinja EU upfumi. Asi pane chimwe chinangwa zvakafanana uye "vachengeti" pamusoro State: ari kunetesa yeRussian Federation, iyo achangobva mitambo kuramba rinokosha panyika mudariro. President Vladimir Putin anogutsikana kuti remangwana muUkraine uye Russia - pedyo mabhizimisi pamwe pakati maviri nyika uye rutsigiro. Mbiri dzakada kufanana vanhu vane takabatana mberi kukurira kuitika kuzvipokanidza zvematongerwo enyika uye zvoupfumi. Izvi ndizvo anodana Russian uye Ukrainian. Kana isu kubata kufembera kwevazivi venyeredzi uye vafemberi, vakawanda vavo havana kuona Ukraine mu EU. The zvinhu hwokupinda kuti sangano uye zvinogonekwa kuenderana nyika ikozvino, zvinganzi vakagumisa kuti kwemapazi angangotadza kuitika.

Way kubva dambudziko

Kugadzirisa kudzvanya matambudziko Ukraine nhasi? The Hurumende razvino anovimbisa vanhu kuti nzira - iri kubatana EU. Zvichipomerwa tinoda chete kuva nemwoyo murefu, kuenda kuburikidza panguva ino yakaoma, kuderedza munzanga zvikomborero uye vawedzere dzakabvarurwa, uye ipapo zvose zvichava zvakanaka. The EU uye US vachapa mari upfumi neHurumende rakandiponesa ndokutanga kukura kwayo. Uye vanhuwo vagari vanodavira kuti nokukurumidza achararama kufanana vokuEurope, kutenga unhu zvinhu uye kuwana vakadzikama muhoro. Asi? Kusagadzikana mberi munyika. Political map kuUkraine mushure the maidan yakatobuda achinja. The Russian Federation asarudza kudzivirira vagari Russian. Mugumisiro izvi kare anozivikanwa - Ukraine chakarasikirwa kuCrimea, inova musha vanopfuura 70% Russian. Zvino, iye ingatadza zvakawanda uye Donbass kuti zvikuru inokanganisa upfumi. The goho pano kunogona chete, maererano Russian masayendisiti akawanda enyika: hurumende inofanira chiso chayo kuvanhu, kuti amise kuri kushanda kumabvazuva uye tora nhoroondo vose zvinotarisirwa vanhu vayo. Gurukota Internal Affairs of Russian Federation Sergey Lavrov rave akakurukura pamwe US Secretary nenzira kubva enyika uye socio-zvoupfumi muUkraine. Chief pakati pavo - ndiro federalization munyika. Izvi ndizvo chaizvo vakawanda East kutsvaka. upfumi Ukraine kuchaita vanosangana nokuchinja kukuru mune ramangwana. Izvi nechokwadi vaongorori vakawanda nhasi. Asi sei pachava mberi achavaponesa chisarudzo achatorwa nehurumende muKiev nhasi.

The kufara vatungamiriri chanhasi kuUkraine

Uye vachiona pakuzadzisa nyika vanhu vari nhasi musimba muKiev? Hedzino dzimwe zvakafanotaurwa yeramangwana rweUkraine zvavanoita. Vachiita Vashumiri Foreign Affairs Andrei Deshitsa anoti kubva Moscow nguva akapiwa mirayiridzo sei kuita Kiev pamamiriro ezvinhu. Izvi zvinhu, yake mafungiro, anofanira kuderedzwa pasina. Zvichabatsira Ukraine muna European Union neUnited States. It ari European Union anoona ramangwana rake nyika Wenyika. Ndinobvumirana naye uye Prime Minister of Ukraine Arseniy Yatsenyuk. Akati kuti nyika inofanira kubatana EU, uye kwete Customs Union. Kuita mabasa President rweUkraine panguva ino Alexander Turchinov uyewo vaishora wokuRussia kupindira munyaya nyika yake. Saka, tinogona kugumisa kuti magetsi vatungamiriri muUkraine vari kuisa kuti rapprochement pamwe EU uye pamusoro pamwe Russia.

Relations pakati Ukraine uye Russia mune ramangwana

Zvichakanganisa sei ose kuitika nhasi munyika kufanana marudzi nokuda maviri? Pashure pezvose, kupfuura munhuwo vagari Ukraine kutsigira hurumende yavo, anoshorana mumwe rapprochement pamwe Russia. Ko EU uye US urongwa, pfungwa huru iyo, maererano nedzimwe tsika nomumwe enyika ndiko embroil maviri pamapatya ndudzi, huchazadzika? "The West haafariri njodzi kuUkraine mushure the maidan," - akati mutungamiriri "yechiUkraine kusarudza" Victor Medvedchuk. Vatungamiri European vari zvaachaita kuona zvinangwa zvavo. Uye chokwadi chokuti Ukrainian uye Russian achavenga mumwe, vari panguva ruoko. Asi, sezvo masayendisiti akawanda enyika vanotenda nhasi, zvikuru noukama hwavo kuitika munyika vachange vasina. Uyezve, nokukurumidza Russia achabatsira kuti buda kubva dambudziko muUkraine. Izvi zvichaitika apo West anoramba zvakare mari "unreliability" Hurumende. Panguva kuti Ukrainians kunzwisisa uyo "shamwari yechokwadi" zvavo.

Vezvematongerwo enyika nezveramangwana muUkraine

Zvinofadza kunzwa pfungwa nyanzvi kuti vanotarisira mune ramangwana sehama nyika. musayendisiti German enyika inorondedzera kutapwa kuUkraine muna yemberi: "Nyika haasi kuenda rapprochement pamwe Moscow, sezvo risina. Ukraine anoona zvakawanda zvinobatsirawo pedyo pamwe chete European Union. Uye yokusagadzikana zvose pashure musarudzo dzemutungamiriri wenyika achange akakurira. " Chimwe chinhu pachena - hurumende zvino anotarisana sarudzo. Uye ayo pakuzadzisa kuchaenderana pairi. Asi sezvo hurukuro Ukraine anotarisira mune ramangwana, imwe nyanzvi mune zvematongerwo enyika Vladimir Belyaminov: "Nyika iri kumirira federalization. Iyi ndiyo chete nzira yakarurama kubva dambudziko. " The chete mafungiro nyasha nenyanzvi dzakawanda. Nyanzvi munyaya dzezvematongerwo enyika Vadim Karasev akati kuti pasinei zvabuda musarudzo rinotevera mutungamiri vachafanira "hwokubata oligarchic Federation munyika." Nemamwe mashoko, musoro wehurumende achafanira kufambisa pakati zvinofarirwa Ukrainian mabhizimisi tycoons.

Vazivi venyeredzi uye vafemberi nezveramangwana muUkraine

Zvino zvakaoma kufungidzira kupfuura anogadziriswa kunzwisisa mamiriro ezvinhu muUkraine. Vazivi venyeredzi uye vafemberi kare kuti Zvaifungidzirwa kuti hurumende mugore rinouya. Remangwana kuUkraine mushure the maidan, vakawanda vavo anoona mune zvematongerwo enyika uye zvoupfumi rapprochement nyika pamwe Russia, pane pamwe EU. Asi izvi hazviitiki pamberi mid-2015, anoti Igor Nikishin, mukuru wokuUkraine Institute of hwenyeredzi Pavla Globy. Iye hunofanotaura ndokuchinja guru mune zvematongerwo enyika uye zvoupfumi sectors ari maviri akatevera. Nazar Lebyak, nhengo rechi9 mwaka "The Hondo vafemberi," anoti gore rino iri Ukrainians ichava zvikuru murunyararo uye akanyarara. Asi Lyudmila Savina nezvenhamba akati kuti 2014 uye 2015 kuchava Ukraine yakaoma, asi kunokosha. Panguva ino, chichagamuchirwa vakaisa pasi mirayiridzo inokosha mamiriro kukura mune ramangwana.

Paaipedzisa kutaura

Zvino muchidimbu for chokuita chii Kushandurwa vachatongerwa nemaitiro uye upfumi rweUkraine mushure the maidan. Uye vezvematongerwo enyika uye vafemberi zvinobvumirana nezvokuti zvose yakaipisisa iri pamusoro kuti nyika. Vanoti uchidzokorora the maidan haruchazovipo, uye vose 2014 ichava nyika nekaupenyu akadzikama. Connections pakati Ukraine uye European Union chingangova kumboitika, pasinei nokuti hurumende yacho iyezvino akatsunga kwazvo kuita kudaro. zano rakanaka kubva Russian divi sei kukurira matambudziko munyika, Ukraine achaita kufungira pashure, kwete pamberi makore 2015-2020. Mberi hurumende iri kumirira basa rakawanda zvakaoma uye kuchinja, asi Ukraine achiri kurarama nguva ino yakaoma uye kukurira zvinetso zvavo. The EU chinowanzoitika runyangarike ive zvoupfumi chikwata. The United States acharasikirwa enyika kutungamirira hweHIV. Uye Russia akamirira itsva Danho okukura. Uye hazvizorevi kuitika pasina kutora chikamu rweUkraine.