Volatility - chii ichi? Ipfungwa volatility

Kuva inobudirira muzvinashawo kwave kwakaoma chaizvo, uye saka kuwana yakagadzikana mari mari zvokufungidzira inoda gore kupfuura rimwe ruzivo. Pokumuka misika yemari - ndiyo musumo macroeconomics, kudzidza unyanzvi kuongorora uye basa iri pachako. Zvisinei, chinonyanya kukosha ndechokuti kuumba munhu zvokutengeserana nzira kuti hazvishande pana 100%, kana muzvinashawo asingazivi sei kuongorora uye kushandisa volatility.

Chii volatility

Kugona zvokutengeserana, muchitsvaka mhinduro dzemibvunzo yakawanda, pakati vakasungwa kuva nechimwe: "? Volatility - chii ichi" It kuwanda zvinhu kuti mutengo kwapfuura kwenguva yakati. Somuenzaniso, rimwe zuva akatorwa EUR / USD anogona kusimuka kana kuwa ne 80-100 pfungwa - ndiwo kukura kwayo volatility. Kuva pamisika, hazvishamisi mune sangano yakadaro Change currency vaviri pa 140 pfungwa - nokuchinja Euro prices kuzorwa dhora 1%.

The kusiyana-siyana pamusoro vakaongorora mari Chishandiso - volatility ichi, tsanangudzo izvo zvinokosha vabudirire zvokutengeserana. Kana reshiyo iri kumusoro, kuti muzvinashawo anofanira kunzwisisa kuti ndingangokuvara haibatsiri inowedzera maererano nengozi. The neizvi mamiriro - kana girafu pane sandara, uye volatility ose 5-15 pfungwa. Mumamiriro ezvinhu akadaro, kushanda zvakanaka scalpers. At svikiro uye yakakwirira volatility zvakakunakira kuzochera chart mitsetse uye kuti Zvaifungidzirwa mari zviridzwa mutengo masangano.

Chii rinokanganisa volatility

mutengo volatility kunosiyana-siyana nokuda kwezvikonzero zvinoverengeka:

• Basa musika macho. Sharp mutengo nokufamba kuitika kana vatengesi nevatengi vari kuedza kugadzirisa. Saka, kumuka kana akawira kuitika, zvichienderana anofarirwa mune hondo iyi.
• The goho pamusoro macroeconomic nhamba. karenda zvoupfumi rine kukosha zvoupfumi zviitiko zvose dzakabudirira: kuti goho riri kugadzirwa data, basa musika, kuchinja mubereko prices. Kusiyana chaizvo zviratidzo zviri projected zvinokonzera mhirizhonga maitiro vatengesi, iyo anoruramisa kuwedzera volatility.
• Trading chapera. kwema Most dzazadziswa mune yokutanga yezana zuva, kana London Stock Exchange rakazaruka - iyi, pane kunonyanyisa volatility zviridzwa zvemari zvikuru. In US vatengesi zvokutengeserana chechikamu vari sekwaserera kana pasina macroeconomic nhau. Panguva Asian uye Pacific chechikamu volatility inokwira pamusoro mari mbiri, umo Japan Yen, Australian uye New Zealand dhora.
• The vakawanda mamiriro hwenyika. All nyika pamwe nemumwe, iyo inotungamirira simba ravo pane mumwe. Somuenzaniso, kupedza mari yavo rokuAustralia dhora, tichiyeuka kuti zviri nyore chaizvo kuti akaipa kuchinja Chinese upfumi, sezvo nyika mbiri idzi ndidzo pedyo ishamwari. Zvinotungamirira kuwa New Zealand dhora ari kwemvura, sezvo upfumi mamiriro inobva kutengeswa zvokurima zvigadzirwa. Saka volatility currency vagara vandifungira chinokosha nzira kuti kufukidza zvose: migumisiro Nhaurirano misoro inoti, maminitsi misangano nechepakati mabhanga, dambudziko chero indasitiri, njodzi dzinongoitika dzoga uye zvichingodaro.

Features volatility

Kuvaka inobudirira zvokutengeserana nzira inofanira muudzame kunzwisisa pfungwa "volatility". Ndizvo zvazviri, chii maitiro ine. Chekutanga, zviri tinoberekwa chechigarire - dzakawanda volatility haachinji kwenguva yakareba, kusvikira kune zvechokwadi chinokosha chiitiko zvoupfumi. Saka, ongorora karenda kusiya nhamba, tinogona kufunga kuti mutengo nokufamba EUR / USD peya richachinja kwayo siyana pamberi Nonfarm payrolls.

Chechipiri, kugadzikana cyclic - ndatsamwa yakatsiva kusakosha mutengo kuchinja, pashure idzo zvakare panomuka RINOFAMBIRA anokonzerwa zvimwe zvinhu zvinokosha. Chechitatu, volatility nezvechisarudzo kana mari mbiri kazhinji uderedze avhareji. Somuenzaniso, kana ari USD / JPY kwese vanopfuura mwero 80 points, ukoshi ichi ruchadzokera neimwe nguva pashure kusvika kunyanyisa itsva.

volatility ukoshi

Achiziva volatility - zviri uye kuishandisa wokuita zvemusika ravo, muzvinashawo anogona kuvandudza mikana yavo kuita purofiti, sezvo Zvicharerukira dzakateerera kusarudza pamisika hwokupinda pfungwa. Volatility kunobatsira ngaaverenge nenhanho mukana yaida kutengeserana, sezvo unofanira kuona anofungidzirwa miganhu magetsi mutengo sangano. Izvi zvinopa kunzwisisa zvakajeka apo kumira unodzivirira murayiro, uye kupi nzvimbo iri yakaguma zvisingabatsiri.

The muzvinashawo anofanira kuziva kuti zviridzwa mari zvikuru kugadzikana vanopiwa mikana yakawanda Zvisinei, kuwana, uye ngozi kwema hwakadaro yekudyidzana ichiwedzerwa. Vatsva nani kusarudza "kunyarara" Currency vaviri vaviri kudzidza kuongorora kuchinja volatility, dzinobvisa panze musika ruzha uye venhema anonongedzera, zvino watova zvinoita kuti wako wokutengesera zvoutsinye nzira.

Vakazvimiririra karukureta volatility

volatility kukarukureta iri nyore chaizvo, kuzvitarisa muenzaniso. Muzvinashawo, vanotengesa intra-zuva, vanofanira kuziva kuti zvinhu zvakawanda mutengo anogona kuenda kweawa uye pazuva. Kuti izvi zvidaro, zvinokosha kuongorora nhoroondo maitiro anoonekwa ari mudziyo zvemari. Kurerutsa muitiro, ataura nevhiki chati uye ndiye musiyano pakati High uye Low tsika rokupedzisira namahwindo makenduru. ukoshi ichi zvakafanira kuti kugovera 5, kuona uwandu zvinhu kuti mutengo akurirwa kuti zuva rimwe. Kuti uone Hourly volatility, mutengo yakakamurwa 120 (5 * 24).

Kana muzvinashawo chinoenda kupemberera nhamba iyi, ipapo nokukurumidza achakwanisa kuona zvimwe zvachinja mufananidzo volatility kusarudza mureza avhareji kuwanda mutengo kufamba nokuti akashandisa mari tambo, kuti zvichaita aivabatsira zvikuru basa rayo, uye chichabatsira kunatsiridza wokutengesera nzira.

volatility zviratidzi

Zviratidzi Pakusarudza simba volatility uye varipo mureza ari chirwere. The nyore nzira - ndiro exponential zvinofamba Avharenji. The kure makenduru ndiyo mutsetse, kunokonzera volatility currency vaviri. Makwikwi vanoumba zvinofamba avhareji Bollinger. Izvi chakarurama volatility chinomirira zvimwe mitsetse kusvika, kana exponent yakaderera uye diverging muwanze Range mutengo nokufamba.

Chechitatu wokusarudza pakuverenga volatility - ndiye ATR, ndiko kuvaka mufananidzo yako uchishandisa mutengo musiyano (kuitika kunonyanyisa uye zvishoma). The yepamusoro nhamba, iyo volatility vakasimba. The girafu inoratidza ATR haasi kuitika, uye kuwedzera kana kudzikisa mwero kuchinja mitengo. Unogona kugadzira nerimwe zviratidzo izvi, yakavakirwa zvikonzero zvavo vakaongorora umboo vakanyanya yakarurama.

kushandisa volatility

Kuwana kubva misika yemari, zvakakosha nemazvo kushandisa kuchinja volatility. Kuwedzera izvozvo anowedzera kwete chete dzingangoitika purofiti, asiwo pangozi. Nokuti beginners zvakanakisisa kusarudza currency maviri vane calculators regai zvinoratidza nechiredzo, mubvunzo anogogodza mano vatengesi kubva pamusika. To nemazvo shandisa volatility, unofanira kuziva zvinotevera:

• Kana girafu iri akacherechedza sandara, uye kuwanda mutengo nokufamba kwenguva refu nguva yasara chete, zvino tinogona kutarisira kuti munguva yemberi iri pedyo volatility vosimba nehasha. Nyatsoongorora kuongorora karenda zvoupfumi kuisa dzakamirira mirairo mune nenguva nenzira.
• The zvokutengeserana Hurongwa anofanira kufunga kuchinja unhu mari Chishandiso - "Stop Loss" igadzikwe kunze ruzha mapazi uye kufungisisa zvichibvira kuwedzera volatility - ichi achabvisa mukana kuti iwe kungoti "gurunurai" mumusika. Somuenzaniso, kutengesa EUR pamusoro USD, vanosarudza nokungwarira padanho pa riri rwokudzivirira kurongeka - iri kuwanda 80 points. Kana mutengo panguva iyo London uye US chechikamu vakawedzera kana yakaderera nezvikamu rakapihwa mari pfungwa, saka zuva hakusi zviripo kuvhura chinzvimbo. Uyewo yeuka kuti zvinogona purofiti anofanira kanenge 2 nguva yakawanda varasikirwa.
• With mukuru volatility akazoita Vhoriyamu akazarurwa zveefa - regai kuisa renyu guru buda.

Kugadziridza kwavo zvokutengeserana nzira inobva mashoko akapiwa, unogona dzinobvisa kubva anonongedzera kupfuura zvenhema uye kuwana here yakanaka musika kupinda pfungwa. Achishamisika: "Volatility - ndiko kuti" haufaniri kugutsikana mumwe chete tsanangudzo rokuti. Kugona kuongorora uye kushandisa kuti kutengeserana yavo - kiyi vawedzere kwemari kubva misika yemari.